There are compelling reasons why Australia should not recognise a Palestinian State, writes ECAJ co-CEO Peter Wertheim. An edited version of this article appears on ABC Religion and Ethics
Introduction
At the ALP State Conferences in Queensland and Victoria in June, motions were put forward urging the Australian government to commit itself to a deadline for Australia to recognise a Palestinian State. The Victorian State Conference resolved that the deadline should be “within the term of this parliament”.[1] A campaign to achieve this objective has openly been spear-headed by former ALP Foreign Minister Bob Carr. He and his supporters have declared that they intend to carry this campaign to the floor of the upcoming ALP National Conference in Brisbane from 17 to 19 August 2023.[2]
Yet recognition cannot create a State where none exists on the ground. Recognition of a State is not an aspirational statement; it is, as the word implies, an acknowledgement of reality.[3] It is one thing to opine that a Palestinian State ought to exist, but another thing entirely to declare that such a State already does exist.
Relevant principles
Recognition of a Palestinian State, other than as an outcome of a negotiated peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians, would constitute a repudiation of the bipartisan principle on which Australian policy has been based for several decades: that Australia should encourage Israel and the Palestinians to return to good faith negotiations on the final status issues of the conflict, which include Palestinian statehood, and refrain from doing anything to pre-empt the outcome of those negotiations. It is a principle that Foreign Minister Penny Wong strongly reaffirmed in October 2022, as the rationale for reversing Australia’s previous recognition of West Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and seat of government.[4] Whilst critics of this decision, including the Executive Council of Australian Jewry, strongly disagreed that West Jerusalem (as distinct from other parts of Jerusalem) is a final status issue, the principle articulated by the Foreign Minister was, and is, unimpeachable.
A second principle that was affirmed by the Foreign Minister at an Estimates hearing in April is that the platform resolution of the ALP National Conference in 2021, which called on a Labor government to recognise a Palestinian State, is “an expression of the views of the national conference”, but that “this is ultimately a decision, a matter for government”.[5] This last statement would be contradicted by any future National Conference resolution that sets a deadline for the government to recognise a Palestinian State.
A third principle, which has also enjoyed decades of bipartisan agreement, is that Australia acts to uphold the rules-based international order. This is for both ethical reasons and reasons of national self-interest. As regards the question of Palestinian statehood, even some of the Palestinians’ strongest advocates have conceded[6] that there is no Palestinian entity that comes close to satisfying the international legal criteria that define a State, as set out in article 1 of the Montevideo Convention on the Rights and Duties of States (1933),[7] which is commonly accepted as reflecting customary international law[8]:
“The state as a person of international law should possess the following qualifications: (a) a permanent population; (b) a defined territory; (c) government; and (d) capacity to enter into relations with the other states.”
Whatever may be said of criteria (a) and (b)[9], it is clear that no Palestinian entity presently satisfies criteria (c) or (d). There is no central government authority that exercises control over the territory claimed by the Palestinians (the West Bank and Gaza Strip), and which is capable of entering into or fulfilling international agreements in respect of that territory as a whole. Hamas, which administers the Gaza Strip, has declared publicly that it does not consider itself or the people and territory of Gaza to be bound by any agreement that the Palestinian Authority may enter into.[10] Similarly, the Palestinian Authority, which is rapidly losing control over the areas it has administered in the West Bank[11], does not consider itself or the people and territory of the West Bank to be bound by any agreement that Hamas may enter into.
It follows that neither Australia nor any other country, including Israel, could rely on any commitments that may be made by the Palestinian Authority or any other entity on behalf of “the State of Palestine” as a whole. Until that situation is remedied, “the State of Palestine” is a fiction, not a reality. A mature democracy like Australia should not demean itself by extending official recognition to a fiction.
Although recognition is a political act and a matter of discretion, it is nonetheless, according to an international tribunal, “subject to compliance with the imperatives of general international law.”[12] Thus, recognition by even 138 other States cannot overcome clear and compelling objective evidence indicating that the requisite criteria of statehood have not been met, especially as these other States include only a small number of mature democracies comparable to Australia. Nor is this defect overcome by a UN General Assembly resolution granting non-member observer State status to “Palestine”.[13] Such resolutions are not legally binding on member States.[14] To make a special exception for the Palestinians by waiving international norms concerning statehood and recognition as if they were of no consequence, would be incompatible with Australia’s professed adherence to those norms. One either supports the international rule of law as a general principle, or one does not.
Policy considerations
There are also good policy reasons why Australia, to date, and its closest allies New Zealand, the US, the UK and Canada, along with almost every other mature democracy in the world, have not recognised a Palestinian State. Nothing has changed recently in the realities of the situation that would invalidate any of these reasons. If anything, recent events have reinforced their validity.
- The internal Palestinian divide
The internal divide within Palestinian society between the secular nationalist movement, represented by the Palestinian Authority (PA), and the theocratic movement, represented by the Islamist organisations, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad,[15] is perhaps the most powerful obstacle to the achievement of Palestinian statehood at present. The division is not only ideological but also geographic. The PA exercises limited control over the West Bank. Hamas has effective control in Gaza. The bitter differences between these two movements have degenerated into internecine violence on many occasions.
Representatives of the PA and Hamas have met many times over the years, both directly and through mediators, to try to resolve the fundamental differences between them, and to formulate a single vision of the kind of state a State of Palestine would be. All of these attempts have failed. The differences between them appear to be intractable.
This means that for reasons which are entirely internal to Palestinian society, there is no reasonable prospect for the foreseeable future that the fatal flaw in the contention that “Palestine” is a State will be remedied.
- The Palestinian declaration of statehood in the absence of peace with Israel violates the Oslo Accords
The Israeli-Palestinian Interim Agreement on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip (also known as ‘Oslo II’) was entered into by Israel and the PLO in 1995.[16] Oslo II explicitly provides that the Palestinian Authority will not have jurisdiction or control over the external borders of the territory in which it operates (Article XII), its airspace (Article XIII, para 4 of Annex 1), foreign relations (Article IX, para 5), Israeli nationals and settlements located within the territory of the West Bank and Gaza (Article XII) and elements of internal security and public order (depending on the particular area involved, Area A, B, or C). The fact that the Palestinian Authority, by agreement, does not exercise jurisdiction or control over any of these matters – which are fundamental indicia of sovereignty – contradicts its claims that “Palestine” is a State.
Oslo II also contains certain provisions relating to final status issues. Article XXXI, paragraph 7, provides:
“Neither side shall initiate or take any step that will change the status of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip pending the outcome of the permanent status negotiations.”
For the Palestinians to declare that the West Bank and the Gaza Strip are parts of the sovereign territory of a State of Palestine is ipso facto an attempt to “change the status” of those territories. Accordingly, any such declaration also constitutes a breach by the PLO and PA of that binding commitment.
It follows that any declaration of a Palestinian State, other than as an outcome of a directly-negotiated agreement with Israel, is a clear violation of Oslo II. Any recognition of such a State by parliaments and governments in the international community would be complicit in such a breach.[17] It is a generally accepted principle of international law that a state may not arise out of an illegal act, as an illegal act cannot produce legal rights – ex injuria non oritur jus.[18]
- Recognising a Palestinian State would be an incentive to the PA to perpetuate, not resolve, the conflict with Israel
The Palestinian Authority has given no indication that the putative State of Palestine would be a peace-loving State that respects the rule of law, democracy and human rights. In fact the contrary is true. Although much more could be written about this, the following will suffice to illustrate the point.
- Both before and since the Oslo Accords were signed in the 1990s, Palestinian leaders have made public statements confirming that Palestinian statehood will not bring about the end of the conflict with Israel, or a commitment to resolve outstanding claims by peaceful means, but will instead mark the opening of a new and more intense phase of the conflict, which will continue to be prosecuted until Israel ceases to exist.[19]
- Claims that the Palestinians have the sole right to the land from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, and that there is no place for a Jewish State in any part of the land, are rationalised by ahistorical and racist assertions that Jews have no history in the land. A notorious example was a speech by PA President Mahmoud Abbas to the Palestine National Council on 1 May 2018, which was so odious that even the main Palestinian lobby group in Germany publicly condemned it as “antisemitic”, stating: “To suggest that Jews in some way share a responsibility for the Holocaust is a grotesque distortion of historical facts. The claim that the Jewish people have no roots in the Holy Land is equally erroneous.”[20]
- Abbas repeated these calumnies in a speech to the UN Committee on the Exercise of the Inalienable Rights of the Palestinian People on 15 May 2023.[21]
Recognition of Palestinian statehood in the present circumstances would effectively reward the Palestinian Authority for this posture of hostility towards Israel and rejection of its legitimacy, the very opposite of what is needed to keep alive the prospects of achieving two States for two peoples.
- Both the PA and Hamas lack legitimacy in the eyes of a majority of Palestinians
Mahmoud Abbas was elected President of the PA on 9 January 2005 for a four-year term that ended on 9 January 2009. He is now in the 19th year of that four-year term. The last elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) were held on 25 January 2006. There have not been any elections either for president or for the PLC since those two elections, with elections in the PA since those dates having only been for local offices. Elections for President have been scheduled, most recently in 2021, only to be called off. Polling conducted by the Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research last December concluded:[22]
- 26% of Palestinians said Hamas is most deserving of representing and leading the Palestinian people, while 24% said Fatah under president Abbas is the most deserving; the largest group – 44% – think neither side deserves such a role;
- 52% supported dissolving the PA;
- 82% said there is corruption in PA institutions and 71% said there is corruption in public institutions controlled by Hamas in Gaza;
- a majority of Palestinians (63%) view the PA as a burden on the Palestinian people while 33% view it as an asset; and
- 22% are optimistic and 75% are pessimistic about reconciliation between the PA and Hamas.
- There is no currently-existing entity that is viable as a Palestinian State
In addition to the fact that the PA does not exercise effective control of the West Bank and Gaza, many observers, including US officials have expressed concern that the PA is on the verge of collapse.[23] It would be bizarre and embarrassing for Australia if it were to extend recognition to an entity that becomes a failed State from the outset.
The most recent reports of the World Bank[24] and the IMF[25] have also shown that a putative Palestinian State is not economically viable. The World Bank concluded: “: “Fiscal sustainability requires a strong macroeconomic foundation, and this cannot be achieved without actions by the PA and the GoI as well as support from donors”.
In short, the Palestinian Authority is not economically self-sustaining. Its public spending is in need of fundamental reform and it will continue to need co-operation from Israel and financial support from donor States. Both could be readily achieved in the context of a peace agreement with Israel, but not while the PA maintains its current posture of hostility towards it.
- ‘Pay-for-slay’
A stark illustration of the implacable nature of the PA’s is hostility towards Israel, and the relationship of this hostility to the dysfunctionality of the PA’s public finances, is the fact that PA President Mahmoud Abbas is directly responsible for paying monthly cash stipends to the families of dead terrorists and to imprisoned terrorists. In 2010, he approved a salary hike for terrorist prisoners including a 300% rise – from NIS 4,000 per month to NIS 12,000 per month – for prisoners who serve more than 30 years in prison for murder. In 2007, 2009 and 2013, Abbas approved a hike in the monthly allowances paid to the families of dead terrorists, including suicide bombers.[26]
In practice, the ‘pay for slay’ policy results in money being paid to an arch-terrorist like Raed Al-Houtari. In 2001, Al-Houtari despatched a suicide bomber to blow up the Dolphinarium discotheque on the beachfront in Tel Aviv, instantly killing 20 Israelis, 16 of whom were teenagers, most of them girls. More than 90 people were wounded.[27] Al-Houtari was arrested in 2003, tried and sentenced to 22 consecutive life sentences. Al-Houtari has so far received well over $US 200,000 in payments from the PA and he will continue to receive a monthly salary from the PA for the rest of his life,[28] in effect as a reward for being a mass murderer of Israelis within the heartland of Israel.
- The PA continues to educate Palestinian children to hate Jews and never make peace with Israel
Another example of this hostility is the PA school curriculum which has consistently propagated overt antisemitic canards and conspiracies, rejection of peacemaking, and the glorification of violence and terrorists. A 2021 study showed that PA textbooks and study cards include antisemitic descriptions of Jews as devious, treacherous and hostile; myths about Jewish control of global events, encouragement of students to engage in to violence and commit jihad against Israelis so as to die as martyrs, denial of Jewish peoplehood and right of self-determination, and the erasure of Israel from maps.[29] The findings of this study were similar to those of a study conducted by the Georg Eckert Institute for International Textbook Research on behalf of the European Commission.[30]
In April 2018, the European parliament passed legislation seeking to prevent aid to the Palestinian Authority from their main donors in the EU from being used to inculcate extremism, hatred and violence in Palestinian school children.[31] In May 2021, the European Parliament adopted a resolution insisting that “EU funding for salaries paid to teachers and public servants in the education sector must be made conditional” on producing educational material promoting peace and tolerance.[32] The European Parliament adopted a further resolution in September 2022 in which it deplored the fact that inappropriate and hateful material in Palestinian school textbooks had not been removed for the third year in a row and expressed concern about the continued failure to act effectively against hate speech and violence.[33] On 10 May 2023, for the fourth consecutive year, the European Parliament passed a resolution condemning the PA over the “hateful” content of its textbooks, and conditioning future funding for education on the removal of antisemitic material.[34] As recently as 12 July 2023, the European Union passed two resolutions (A9-0226/48 and 51)[35] calling for a temporary suspension of the $US 220 million of aid it awards the Palestinian Authority, citing its continued inclusion of antisemitic and violent themes in school curricula.
Given this indoctrination from an early age, it is little wonder that a survey published by the Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research in March 2023 found that 68% of Palestinians (71% in the Gaza Strip and 66% in the West Bank) said they are in favour of forming armed terrorist groups such as the “Lions’ Den,” which do not take orders from the PA and are not part of the PA security services; only 25% were opposed.[36]
- Palestinian leaders cannot meet even the most basic preconditions for recognition of statehood
In the early 1990s new States were born out of the break-up of the former Soviet Union and the former Yugoslavia. These new States were frequently in armed and political conflict with one other over historical disputes concerning territory and national, ethnic and religious identity. Accordingly, on 16 December 1991, the European Council adopted a Declaration on the “Guidelines on the Recognition of New States in Eastern Europe and in the Soviet Union,” which stipulated the following additional requirements for recognising those new States:
- respect for the provisions of the Charter of the United Nations and the commitments subscribed to in the Final Act of Helsinki and in the Charter of Paris, especially with regard to the rule of law, democracy and human rights,
- guarantees for the rights of ethnic and national groups and minorities in accordance with the commitments subscribed to in the framework of the CSCE, [The Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe]
- respect for the inviolability of all frontiers which can only be changed by peaceful means and by common agreement,
- acceptance of all relevant commitments with regard to disarmament and nuclear non-proliferation as well as to security and regional stability,
- commitment to settle by agreement, including where appropriate by recourse to arbitration, all questions concerning State succession and regional disputes.[37]
The European Council additionally required each of the new Republics, “to commit itself, prior to recognition, to adopt constitutional and political guarantees ensuring that it has no territorial claims towards a neighboring… State and that it will conduct no hostile propaganda activities versus a neighboring … State.”[38]
It is evident that a putative State of Palestine, as a precondition of recognition, would not be able or willing to meet equivalent obligations with respect to its Jewish State neighbour. In particular, it would lack the capacity to honour any commitments to respect the inviolability of even the pre-1967 ceasefire lines with Israel, to repudiate all further territorial claims beyond those lines, to cease all incitement and hostile propaganda against Israel and to settle all outstanding territorial and other disputes with Israel by peaceful means, assuming it was prepared to give such commitments. Thus, from the outset, it would not be a peace-loving State with regard to Israel, able and willing to meet the obligations of a State under the UN Charter. In those circumstances, recognition of a Palestinian State could only serve as an encouragement to further hostilities and violence, thereby undermining regional and international peace and security, and putting a negotiated peace settlement, and an actual Palestinian state, even further out of reach.
[1] James Massola, ‘Victorian Labor gives Albanese deadline to recognise Palestine’, Sydney Morning Herald, 18 June 2023.
[2] Ibid.
[3] This is the ‘declaratory theory’ of State recognition in international law. It maintains that recognition is merely an acknowledgment by States of an already-existing situation. A new State acquires a legal personality and legal capacity only if and when it actually begins to operate as a State ‘on the ground’. The contrary view is the ‘constitutive theory’, which maintains that it is the act of recognition by other States that creates a new State and endows it with legal personality. States generally do not follow the constitutive theory. “Practice over the last century or so is not unambiguous but does point to the declaratory approach as the better of the two theories”: Malcolm N. Shaw, International Law, (Seventh edition), (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014), p. 323. Article 3 of the Montevideo Convention on the Rights and Duties of States 1933 ((1934) 165 League of Nations Treaty Series 19: https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/intam03.asp) explicitly states that “The political existence of the state is independent of recognition by the other states.” See also Arbitration Commission, E.C. Conference on Yugoslavia, Opinion No. 1, 20 November 1991, paras 1(a) and (b), reproduced at Vol 92 International Law Reports (1993) p. 162 and 164–165.
[4] On 18 October 2022, Foreign Minister Penny Wong criticised the former government’s decision in 2018 to recognise West Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, contending that the 2018 decision had been a break from “Australia’s previous and longstanding position that Jerusalem is a final status issue that should be resolved as part of any peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian people.” (Emphasis added). https://www.foreignminister.gov.au/minister/penny-wong/media-release/reversal-recognition-west-jerusalem
[5] Statement by Foreign Minister Penny Wong in answer to a question from Senator David Fawcett, Foreign Affairs, Defence And Trade Legislation Committee, Senate Estimates Hearing, 16.2.2023, p.42
[6] For example, Professor Guy Goodwin-Gill, an eminent international lawyer who represented the Palestinians before the International Court of Justice in the 2004 “Wall” case, has concluded:
“Until such a time as a final settlement is agreed, the putative SFtate of Palestine will have no territory over which it exercises effective sovereignty, its borders will be indeterminate or disputed, its population, actual and potential, undetermined and many of them continuing to live under occupation or in States of refuge. While it may be an observer State in the United Nations, it will fall short of meeting the internationally agreed criteria of statehood, with serious implications for Palestinians at large.…”: ‘The Palestine Liberation Organization, the future State of Palestine, and the question of popular representation’, Legal Opinion dated 10 August 2011, para. 9.
[7] (1934) 165 League of Nations Treaty Series 19: https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/intam03.asp
[8] D. J. Harris, Cases and Materials on International Law (5th ed), (London: Sweet & Maxwell, 1998), p.102.
[9] See Opinion of Professor Goodwin-Gill, Note 6.
[10][10] See, for example, the statement of Hamas spokesperson Sami Abu Zuhri that “No one has authorized [PLO Chair and PA President] Mahmoud Abbas to represent the Palestinian people and no one is obligated to any position he’s issued”: Dov Lieber and Eric Cortellessa, ‘Hamas Rejects Abbas Peace Proposal Outline to Trump’, Times of Israel, 3 May 2017.
[11] Dr Shaul Bartal, ‘Are we witnessing the end of the Palestinian Authority?’, BESA Centre, Perspectives Paper No. 2,198, May 23, 2023
[12] Arbitration Commission, E.C. Conference on Yugoslavia, Opinion No. 10, 4 July 1992, para 4.
[13] General Assembly of resolution 67/19, 29 November 2012.
[14] Article 10, UN Charter. See discussion on UN website: https://www.un.org/en/model-united-nations/how-decisions-are-made-un#:~:text=The%20only%20resolutions%20that%20have,adopted%20by%20the%20Security%20Council.&text=This%20explains%20why%20Member%20States,widest%20possible%20agreement%20among%20them.
[15] Both of which, in their entirety, are listed as terrorist organisations by Australia, among other countries.
[16] Accessible via: https://peacemaker.un.org/sites/peacemaker.un.org/files/IL%20PS_950928_InterimAgreementWestBankGazaStrip%28OsloII%29.pdf
[17] ‘Opinion in the Matter of the Jurisdiction of the ICC with regard to the Declaration of the Palestinian Authority’, by Professor Malcolm Shaw QC, 9 September 2009, p.18, paras 41–42.
[18] Ibid, p.20, para 46. See also James Crawford, The Creation of States in International Law, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2nd edition, 2006), Chapter 3, ‘International Law Conditions for the Creation of States’.
[19] Some of the more notorious of these statements, including by PA President Mahmoud Abbas, are reproduced in ‘PLO Tells Its People to Resist Until Israel Is Destroyed by ‘Return’’, Algemeiner, 4 May 2018.
[20] ‘German Palestinian group slams Abbas Holocaust speech’, Times of Israel, 2 May 2018.
[21] Tovah Lazaroff, ‘Abbas disavows Jewish ties to Temple Mount, compares Israel to Nazis’, Jerusalem Post, 16 May 2023.
[22] Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research, ‘Press Release: Public Opinion Poll No. 87’, 23 March 2023.
[23] Jacob Magid, ‘Shin Bet chief in Washington for talks with US officials fearful of PA collapse’, Times of Israel, 2 June 2023
[24] ‘World Bank Monitoring report to the Ad Hoc Committee’, April 2023, para 13, p.12.
[25] IMF, ‘West Bank and Gaza Report to the Ad Hoc Liaison Committee’, 14 April 2023.
[26] Maurice Hirsch, ‘The Abyss that divides the Israeli leadership from the PA leadership’, Jerusalem Post, 1 June 2020.
[27] David Rudge, ‘Bomb horror hits Tel Aviv disco’, Jerusalem Post, 4 June 2001.
[28] Maurice Hirsch, ‘The Abyss that divides the Israeli leadership from the PA leadership’, Jerusalem Post, 1 June 2020.
[29] A summary of findings is set out in ‘Palestinian Authority Ministry of Education Study Cards 2021–22, Grades 1–11’, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education, January 2022, p.10.
[30] ‘EU study finds incitement in Palestinian textbooks, kept from public’, Jerusalem Post, 9 June 2021.
[31] European Parliament, 2014–2019, Texts Adopted, P8_TA(2018)0121, paragraph 272, p.54.
[32] European Parliament, 2019–2024, Texts Adopted, P9_TA(2021)0164, paragraph 444, p.97.
[33] European Parliament, 2019–2024, Texts Adopted, P9_TA(2022)0144, paragraph 175, p.57.
[34] ‘EU Parliament slams ‘hateful’ Palestinian textbooks, threatens funding freeze’, Times of Israel, 11 May 2023.
[35] ‘European Parliament Calls Again for Freezing Palestinian Aid Over Antisemitic Content in Textbooks’,Algemeiner, 12 July 2023.
[36] Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research, ‘Press Release: Public Opinion Poll No. 87’, 23 March 2023.
[37] Reproduced in (1991) 62 British Yearbook of International Law 559 et seq.
[38] Reproduced in (1991) 62 British Yearbook of International Law 559 et seq.